Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
SK Brann vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 4
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
STM
1 - 1
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
BBS
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 1
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AST
6 - 1
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
AST
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
FKT
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
AST
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |