Austria Klagenfurt vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
12º
6º
12
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 36 |
1º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 35 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 34 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 33 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 32 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
73.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria Klagenfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
RAP
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
4 - 1
SKA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 5
SKA
27%
21%
52%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
RIZ
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 2
LBN
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 0
STR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 4
STR
6%
12%
82%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |