Adnet vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
16º
16º
39
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANI
4 - 0
SKA
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
GRO
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
SKA
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 5
USC
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
SKA
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 0
PUC
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PUC
0 - 4
USC
44%
22%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SEE
2 - 1
PUC
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PUC
1 - 5
KUC
11%
19%
70%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UFV
1 - 2
PUC
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |