Sivasspor vs Karacabey Birlikspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
KAY
4 - 1
SIV
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
KON
2 - 2
SIV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
SIV
1 - 2
GAL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
KAS
1 - 2
SIV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SIV
5 - 2
ERO
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Karacabey Birlikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 0
KAR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 5
KAR
71%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
KAR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 1
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 1
KAR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |