UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Sivasspor vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 2
SIV
27%
28%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 2
SIV
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SIV
3 - 5
GAL
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 2
SIV
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SIV
2 - 1
ANK
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 2
SIV
27%
28%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
GRB
2 - 1
ČEL
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ČEL
3 - 2
GRB
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
PET
0 - 2
GRB
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GRB
3 - 1
KOM
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |