Sittingbourne vs Plymouth Parkway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sittingbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
SIT
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SIT
2 - 0
SCR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
DOV
0 - 1
SIT
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIT
2 - 2
DOV
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 4
SIT
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
4 - 3
WUN
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
2 - 2
TAU
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
1 - 2
WAL
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PLY
4 - 1
BMR
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 0
PLY
59%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |