Sitges vs At. Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIT
2 - 1
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAB
1 - 2
SIT
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SIT
7 - 1
SAN
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOJ
2 - 3
SIT
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SIT
0 - 4
VIL
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
FCS
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JRO
1 - 1
VIL
7%
12%
81%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
GAV
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAB
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |