Siroki Brijeg vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
8º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
POS
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SIR
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
IGM
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
ZRI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 4
VEL
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 0
VEL
14%
24%
63%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
33%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 0
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |