Siroki Brijeg vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
8º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SIR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 2
BBL
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
4 - 1
IGM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 1
SIR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZBE
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |