Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-7
Siroki Brijeg vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
SIR
9%
25%
66%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SIR
2 - 0
FCI
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
3 - 2
SIR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SIR
4 - 1
ZEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ZVI
2 - 1
SIR
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
QPR
1 - 2
UDI
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 0
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
INT
2 - 5
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 3
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |