Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Siroki Brijeg vs Olimpik Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 0
SIR
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SIR
6 - 0
ZVI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 0
SIR
22%
25%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SIR
2 - 0
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 3
SIR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpik Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
OSA
0 - 1
VEL
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MLA
1 - 0
OSA
20%
29%
51%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BBL
0 - 1
OSA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
OSA
0 - 0
ČEL
51%
28%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |