Siroki Brijeg vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
8º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
POS
1 - 2
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TMS
0 - 4
SIR
9%
16%
76%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 4
SIR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
POS
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
SIR
20%
28%
52%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 4
SLO
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 1
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 4
SIR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
GOS
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
IGM
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |