Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 4-3
Siroki Brijeg vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
3 - 2
SIR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SIR
4 - 1
ZEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ZVI
2 - 1
SIR
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 1
ZEL
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SIR
4 - 0
BBL
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
1 - 0
TOB
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
3 - 2
SIR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 1
FCI
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
2 - 0
LSO
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
1 - 0
ATY
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |