Sirnach vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GOS
0 - 1
SIR
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UST
4 - 1
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 2
UZW
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 1
KRE
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 4
SIR
53%
21%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WID
2 - 1
MEL
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RUT
4 - 1
WID
73%
15%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WID
1 - 6
LIN
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WID
0 - 3
FRA
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
6 - 2
WID
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |