Sirnach vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
RUT
4 - 0
SIR
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIR
3 - 1
LIN
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 1
FRE
31%
24%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
SIR
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
KRE
2 - 3
MEL
68%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MEL
4 - 6
RUT
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 1
MEL
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FRE
4 - 1
MEL
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
FRA
19%
21%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |