Sirnach vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KRE
1 - 2
SIR
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 2
SVS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
SIR
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 0
ALT
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SEU
3 - 3
SIR
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
WID
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KRE
5 - 0
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 1
MEL
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 6
SVS
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |