Sirnach vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirnach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
UST
1 - 2
SIR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 2
KRE
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 5
MEL
43%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
WID
5 - 0
SIR
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
SIR
1 - 2
LIN
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 3
MEL
32%
21%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WID
5 - 1
ARB
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
KOS
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GOS
2 - 1
ARB
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 4
FRA
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |