IK Sirius vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
AKR
0 - 0
SIR
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
AKR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
UME
1 - 1
SIR
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 0
HAM
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 1
IKF
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
HAM
3 - 1
UME
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
UME
3 - 0
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
UME
1 - 1
SIR
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
IKF
1 - 1
UME
29%
24%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
UME
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |