IK Sirius vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
8º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 50 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 49 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 32 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 94.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
5 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
MFF
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
MFF
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 2
MFF
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |