IK Sirius vs Karlstad BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IFK
1 - 1
SIR
28%
27%
46%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 2
DAL
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SYR
1 - 0
SIR
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
IKF
0 - 0
SIR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Karlstad BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
UME
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
IKF
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AKR
1 - 1
KAR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 3
BOD
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |