IK Sirius vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
13º
8º
21
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 48 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 4
SIR
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 4
HIF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
KAL
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
DJU
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 1
BRO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
AIK
1 - 2
KAL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |