IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
13º
8º
38
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
AIK
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 2
BRO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
SIR
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
DJU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
SIR
14%
19%
68%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AZA
3 - 2
ELF
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
HIF
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 2
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
ELF
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 3
ELF
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |