IK Sirius vs GAIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
8º
33
3º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 49 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 32 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
5 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 0
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
GAIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 0
HIF
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 1
VEN
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 0
HAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HAL
4 - 0
GAI
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GAI
3 - 0
HÄC
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |