Relegation Allsvenskan Final
Global 3-3
IK Sirius vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 3
SIR
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
JON
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
SIR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 0
IKF
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 2
SIR
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ELF
4 - 2
FAL
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 2
DJU
32%
26%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAL
6 - 0
ATV
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ORE
2 - 1
FAL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
1 - 2
HÄC
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |