IK Sirius vs Brommapojkarna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
13º
8º
27
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 48 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 47 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 31 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
SIR
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
DJU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
SIR
14%
19%
68%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
KAL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brommapojkarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 3
ELF
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AIK
2 - 1
BRO
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 5
BRO
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 3
HÄC
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 3
BRO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |