Syria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 0
SYR
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 6
SYR
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
MAS
4 - 1
SYR
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
SYR
0 - 0
VIE
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VIE
0 - 1
SYR
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
OMA
0 - 1
SWE
25%
28%
48%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
62%
23%
15%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
4 - 1
ALB
75%
18%
7%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
SWE
57%
24%
20%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 1
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 55 | 38 | 0 |