WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Syria vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
IND
1 - 0
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
KHM
1 - 5
SYR
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
IND
2 - 3
SYR
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SYR
4 - 1
KGZ
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BGD
0 - 2
SYR
16%
20%
64%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
PHL
1 - 1
AFG
31%
22%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
AFG
2 - 2
TWN
62%
19%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
AFG
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LKA
1 - 2
AFG
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
PAK
1 - 0
AFG
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |