Sirens vs Lija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SIR
0 - 0
MEL
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SIG
1 - 3
SIR
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SIR
2 - 1
SEN
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 1
SIR
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SIR
3 - 1
XGH
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
LIJ
4 - 3
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIJ
0 - 2
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MSI
0 - 5
LIJ
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LIJ
1 - 3
PAT
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 3
LIJ
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |