Sirens vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 2
FLO
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 0
SIR
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 1
BIR
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 2
VAL
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
PIE
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 4
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |