Sirens vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sirens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PIE
0 - 1
SIR
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 1
HIB
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
SIR
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 0
GUD
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
0 - 0
SIR
44%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 1
BAL
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 5
BIR
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 1
GZI
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |