Siracusa vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
4 - 0
SIR
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 1
SIR
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
ACP
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 0
FAN
71%
15%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIC
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 1
MOD
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
VIC
2 - 1
REG
40%
22%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 2
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -2 |