Siracusa vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
PIS
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 1
SIR
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
51%
22%
28%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
USA
2 - 0
EMP
67%
17%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
UDI
2 - 2
USA
74%
14%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
USA
2 - 0
FAN
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ACP
3 - 1
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
PIS
2 - 1
USA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |