Siracusa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 0
SIR
57%
21%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
TRE
2 - 1
SIR
61%
19%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 0
REG
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
CAT
3 - 1
SIR
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SPA
3 - 0
VNZ
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
VIC
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 2
SPA
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |