Siracusa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 3
VIC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
4 - 0
SIR
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 1
SIR
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
ACP
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 0
FAN
71%
15%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
1 - 0
PIS
72%
16%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
3 - 0
USC
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VER
5 - 0
SPA
73%
15%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SPA
1 - 1
UDI
39%
22%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 3
SPA
66%
17%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |