Siracusa vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 2
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 3
FCS
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
TRA
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
SIR
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
USC
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 3
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
PIA
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
PIA
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 1
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |