Siracusa vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+326%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 3
SIR
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
4 - 2
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NFR
3 - 2
SIR
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SIR
2 - 2
USV
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SIR
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
REN
1 - 2
PAL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
6 - 2
VIG
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +5 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 4
PAL
79%
12%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEO
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |