Siracusa vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
SIR
59%
25%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 0
SIR
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
USF
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 0
SIR
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SIR
2 - 1
FOL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NUO
0 - 1
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
NUO
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |