Siracusa vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
PIS
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 1
SIR
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAT
51%
22%
28%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
REG
2 - 2
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 0
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 5
SPE
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |