Siracusa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
FAN
6 - 0
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ACM
2 - 0
SIR
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 1
CAG
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TRE
2 - 1
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |