Siracusa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
SAL
62%
19%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SIR
6 - 1
TAR
67%
17%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
SIR
4 - 1
LIV
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
USC
0 - 1
SIR
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
REG
4 - 1
SIR
75%
15%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 5
MOD
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 0
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |