Siracusa vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 1
UDI
34%
24%
43%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 2
SIR
63%
19%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
FAN
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 0
SIR
54%
21%
24%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
MOD
4 - 1
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
MOD
6 - 0
PRO
77%
14%
8%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VER
0 - 2
MOD
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |