Siracusa vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MES
2 - 1
SIR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
TRE
0 - 0
SIR
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SIR
2 - 0
MOD
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
FAN
6 - 0
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ASL
0 - 1
MES
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASL
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |