Siracusa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
USC
0 - 1
SIR
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
REG
4 - 1
SIR
75%
15%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
SIR
3 - 1
SAL
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
SIR
3 - 1
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
SIR
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
USA
2 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 2
REG
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |