Siracusa vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
SIR
3 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
VIC
1 - 1
SIR
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SIR
1 - 2
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SIR
4 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
VER
4 - 1
SIR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
0 - 0
TRE
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
BRE
3 - 0
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
GEN
2 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |