Siracusa vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
SIR
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
2 - 0
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SIR
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
LAT
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 2
TRA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
TRI
21%
26%
54%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
VIR
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |