Siracusa vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAT
0 - 2
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
SIR
0 - 2
DOM
86%
9%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
TRI
3 - 0
FAN
70%
18%
13%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1942 |
FAN
6 - 1
SAV
67%
17%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |