Siracusa vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
UNI
3 - 2
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
SIR
40%
22%
39%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SIR
1 - 0
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SIR
3 - 3
VIC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VER
1 - 2
CAT
77%
13%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 0
CAT
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |