Siracusa vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
USV
1 - 1
SIR
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SIR
0 - 0
SIC
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SIR
1 - 0
BIS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
SIR
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
CAS
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
TRA
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |