Siracusa vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ATP
1 - 0
SIR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
SIR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAD
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
PAD
2 - 0
ACM
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
VER
4 - 2
PAD
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |