Siracusa vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SIR
0 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ATP
1 - 0
SIR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
SIR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 1
FAN
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
6 - 0
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ASL
3 - 4
CAG
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
CAG
3 - 2
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |